In Focus: Europe congestion hits post-pandemic peak

Severe winter weather systems, including Storm Leo, have impacted the North Atlantic and Western Mediterranean, driving European port congestion to its highest level since the pandemic. As storms force vessel diversions and terminal closures, total capacity currently tied up at anchorages has briefly exceeded 10% of the global fleet, removing significant supply from active rotation just as the market approaches the pre-Chinese New Year period.

The disruption has continued to move northward, with major Northern European hubs including Antwerp, Hamburg, and Rotterdam, remaining under congestion pressure. Terminal productivity has been impacted by snow and ice, causing landside delays for haulage and compounding density issues at container yards.

While weather conditions in the Bay of Biscay are forecast to improve slightly from 9th February, the operational hangover will persist; carriers warn that recovery will be gradual. As delayed vessels resume their voyages simultaneously, they are expected to arrive at destination ports in concentrated patterns. This bunching effect will likely trigger a secondary wave of congestion at terminal berths, extending transit times and straining schedule reliability into late February.

Ocean

 

  • Space is critical on Spot/FAK with major alliances (PA, MSC, Gemini) full until CNY, though some capacity is still being released for NAC and long-term deals.
  • CMA remains overbooked by four weeks, creating a chain of rolled bookings that will likely push cargo to later vessels rather than securing immediate release.
  • Operational backlogs mean last-minute bookings are unlikely to sail before 16th February, with some cargo for late-February ETDs (21st-24th) potentially rolling into early March.
  • Gate-in windows have been extended by carriers, allowing cargo to gate-in two weeks prior to ETD to help manage the pre-holiday accumulation.
  • Severe weather between Morocco and the English Channel is disrupting schedules, with knock-on congestion expected at Northern European ports. Asia-bound ships impacted by these delays are expected to arrive in late February.
  • Blank sailing programs commencing in the third week of February will remove approximately 40% of capacity.
Air

Central China (SHA/NGB)

  • SHA: Space generally available and rates broadly stable for now, but quoting remains case-by-case by lane based on cargo details.
  • NGB: Europe demand is picking up into the holiday period, with space tightening and rates becoming more volatile. Recommendation to confirm case-by-case.

North China (DLC/TSN/TAO/PEK)

  • TSN: Market running hot; lower-cost options available with longer transit times, and bookings typically need close to a week’s lead time for confirmed space.
  • DLC/PEK: Rates broadly steady, with spot options mainly for dense cargo; volume cargo needs advance booking and may face split flights, with pre-CNY space heavily committed.
  • TAO: Slightly busier market with space a bit tight to key EU hubs; rates have eased marginally week-on-week, with spot rates still possible for dense/volume cargo.

South China (CAN/SZX/XMN)

  • CAN: Final week pre-CNY is very tight on space; spot quoting case-by-case by flight date.
  • SZX: Market trending up with deferred services; most shipments require carrier-by-carrier quoting as conditions tighten into the holiday run-up.
  • XMN: Pre-holiday booking activity remains elevated, with market broadly steady and handling normal; final rates and space still confirmed case-by-case at booking.
Ocean
  • Rate levels are expected to hold until the end of February, though this trend is not yet fully confirmed. Peak Season Surcharges (PSS) have been officially postponed until 1 March.
  • Capacity utilisation held strong at approximately 85-88% leading up to the Lunar New Year.
  • Blank sailings are in force to adjust for the holiday period and are scheduled to continue into March.
  • Demand has remained steady, with only a slight dip observed immediately prior to the CNY sailings.
  • A new US-India trade agreement was announced on 2nd February, aiming to reduce effective duties on Indian goods from 50% to 18%; however, the executive order required to implement this immediately has not yet been issued.
Air

Central China (SHA/NGB)

  • SHA: Rates are edging up and space is slightly “hot” as factories push pre-CNY volumes, though increases are less aggressive than expected.

North China (DLC/TSN/TAO/PEK)

  • TSN: Market hot but broadly stable on price; freighter options support earlier departures, with stronger availability typically requiring close to a week’s booking lead time.
  • DLC/PEK: Rates mostly steady with spot possibilities for dense cargo; volume moves need advance booking and may split, with space pressure elevated ahead of CNY.
  • TAO: US market slightly busy with tightening space to both coasts; rates are firmer than last week and remain high, with spot rates still sometimes available for dense/volume cargo.

South China (CAN/SZX/XMN)

  • CAN: Space is very tight in the final week before CNY, with potential for softer pricing during the holiday window. Recommended to confirm spot rates by flight date.
  • SZX: Market heating up, with stronger pressure on West Coast lanes and higher levels on East Coast; quoting remains carrier-by-carrier.
  • XMN: Market broadly steady week-on-week despite heavier pre-holiday booking; West Coast looks more workable than East Coast, with final rates confirmed case-by-case.
Ocean
  • Rate increases (GRIs) have been announced for the second week of February on India to North Europe trades, though FAK implementation remains complex.
  • Pricing levels remain largely unchanged from January for India exports, while Bangladesh rates are trending slightly downwards overall.
  • Space is tight for mother vessel allocation from Chennai, while Tuticorin exports are facing rollovers of approximately two weeks at transshipment ports.
  • Equipment challenges are being reported at Nhava Sheva, specifically affecting HPL bookings.
  • Strike action at Chittagong has been suspended until 15 February in view of national elections and Ramadan, allowing port operations to gradually resume following recent disruptions.
  • Strategic initiatives are underway to establish the ‘Bharat Container Shipping Line‘ to anchor container trade within India, aiming to boost self-sufficiency in container-trade, although current production remains significantly lower than China.
Ocean
  • Schedule reliability has declined significantly, dropping to 61.5%, though niche carriers like ICL and ACL are maintaining much higher performance levels.
  • Demand remains persistently soft with no immediate signs of recovery, leaving market conditions largely stagnant. Surplus capacity continues to be a primary challenge, with vessel space consistently exceeding volume requirements.
  • Carriers continue to manage capacity and seek rate improvements through GRI but, as of yet, they are yet to successfully implement.
  • Operational disruptions are ongoing, with severe weather impacting the US East Coast and low water levels in Canada continuing to cause delays.
  • Congestion in Northern Europe persists, impacting vessel turnaround times and subsequently reducing effective capacity.
USA

Ocean

  • LA/LB: 0 vessels waiting (down by 2), 7-day rail dwell.
  • Oakland: 2 vessels waiting (down by 1), 6-day rail dwell.
  • Seattle/Tacoma: 0 vessels waiting, 5-day rail dwell.
  • Vancouver: 2 vessels waiting (down by 1), 6-day rail dwell.
  • NY/NJ: 1 vessel waiting, 4-day rail dwell.
  • Savannah: 3 vessels waiting (down by 2), 2-day rail dwell.
Benelux

Antwerp

  • PSA 913: Yard utilisation is elevated at 70-75%, with reefer utilisation at 60-65%.
  • PSA 869: Yard utilisation increased to 65-70%, with reefer utilisation high at 50-55%.
  • AGW: Yard utilisation has increased to 70-75%, with reefer utilisation reducing to 60-65% and empties at 80-55%. Cargo opening times are now 6 days prior to vessel ETA.

Rotterdam

  • ECT: Yard utilisation is elevated at 75-80%.
  • RWG: Yard utilisation remains critical at 80-85%.
  • DELTA II: Yard utilisation is low at 40-45%, with reefers at 30-35%.
  • APMT MVII: Yard utilisation is higher at 90-95%.

Europe Public Holidays

We anticipate a shortage of availability and the occurrence of delays around the bank holiday periods. Plan ahead and allow extra time for your products to be delivered.

  • 10 February (Tue): Malta.
  • 11 February (Wed): Holy See (Vatican City).
  • 15 February (Sun): Serbia.
  • 16–17 February (Mon–Tue): Regional holidays across Andorra, Gibraltar, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Kosovo, Portugal, Serbia, and Liechtenstein.
  • 21–22 February (Sat–Sun): Russia.
  • 23 February (Mon): Cyprus, Greece, Estonia, Russia, Transdniestria (PMR).
  • 24 February (Tue): Estonia.
  • 28 February (Sat): Spain (regional observance).
  • 1 March (Sun): Bosnia and Herzegovina (FBiH), Switzerland.
  • 2 March (Mon): Spain.
  • 3 March (Tue): Bulgaria.
  • 7 March (Sat): Russia.
  • 8 March (Sun): Belarus, Germany, Moldova, Russia, Transdniestria (PMR), Ukraine.
  • 9 March (Mon): Russia, Transdniestria (PMR), Ukraine.
  • 11 March (Wed): Lithuania.
  • 14 March (Sat): Albania, Andorra.
  • 15 March (Sun): Hungary.
  • 16 March (Mon): Albania.
  • 17 March (Tue): Ireland (Eire), UK (United Kingdom).
  • 19 March (Thu): Austria, Holy See (Vatican City), Liechtenstein, Malta, Spain, Switzerland, Türkiye.
  • 20 March (Fri): Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina (FBiH), Kosovo, Macedonia, North Cyprus, Spain, Türkiye.
  • 21 March (Sat): North Cyprus, Türkiye.
  • 22 March (Sun): Albania, North Cyprus, Türkiye.
  • 23 March (Mon): Albania.
  • 25 March (Wed): Cyprus, Greece, San Marino.
  • 31 March (Tue): Malta.
Traffic bans

09.02.2026 (Monday)

  • AT | Austria — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00
  • CH | Switzerland — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00
  • LI | Liechtenstein — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00

10.02.2026 (Tuesday)

  • AT | Austria — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00
  • CH | Switzerland — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00
  • LI | Liechtenstein — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00

11.02.2026 (Wednesday)

  • AT | Austria — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00
  • CH | Switzerland — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00
  • LI | Liechtenstein — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00

12.02.2026 (Thursday)

  • AT | Austria — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00
  • CH | Switzerland — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00
  • LI | Liechtenstein — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00

13.02.2026 (Friday)

  • AT | Austria — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00
  • CH | Switzerland — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00

LI | Liechtenstein — 00:00–05:00; 22:00–24:00

The route ahead

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